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11 algorithms of non-linear regression in machine learning with explanation

I have created a python code called regression_algorithms.ipynb for understanding how we are able to implement different approaches of non-linear regression algorithms in machine learning. Non-linear regression algorithms are machine learning techniques used to model and predict non-linear relationships between input variables and target variables. These algorithms aim to capture complex patterns and interactions that cannot be effectively represented by a linear model. Here are some popular non-linear regression algorithms:


import glob
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import seaborn as sns
import hvplot.pandas
import csv
from sklearn.metrics import mean_absolute_error
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
from sklearn.metrics import max_error
from sklearn import metrics
from sklearn.metrics import r2_score
from sklearn.metrics import explained_variance_score
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split

## reading data - information
data = pd.read_csv('merged_data.txt', sep=" ", header=None)
data.columns = ["Y", "X"]
data
data.to_csv ('data.csv', index=None)
print(data.head())
data.info()
sns.pairplot(data)
        Y       X
0  5.1627  2.0243
1  4.3093  1.5470
2  3.7513  1.3042
3  3.1206  1.2382
4  2.7733  1.1511
<class 'pandas.core.frame.DataFrame'>
RangeIndex: 692 entries, 0 to 691
Data columns (total 2 columns):
 #   Column  Non-Null Count  Dtype  
---  ------  --------------  -----  
 0   Y       692 non-null    float64
 1   X       692 non-null    float64
dtypes: float64(2)
memory usage: 10.9 KB





<seaborn.axisgrid.PairGrid at 0x15b36fa60>

png


features =  data[['X']]
lables =  data[['Y']]
X = features # Independent variable
y = lables # Dependent variable
y.shape
(692, 1)
X.shape
(692, 1)

## linear regression
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.3, random_state=42)
## we define the model
model_LIN = LinearRegression()
model_LIN.fit(X_train, y_train)
#####################################
## model can predict any lable by giving the new input
X_new = np.linspace(0.5, 4, 692).reshape(-1, 1)  # New input value
y_pred = model_LIN.predict(X_new)
#####################################@
y_pred_test = model_LIN.predict(X_test)
y_pred_train = model_LIN.predict(X_train)
print('r2_score_test:',r2_score(y_test, y_pred_test))
print('r2_score_train:',r2_score(y_train, y_pred_train))

####plots
plt.scatter(X_train, y_train, color='green', label='Training Data')
plt.plot(X_new, model_LIN.predict(X_new), color='black', label='Linear Regression Line', linewidth=3)
plt.scatter(X_test, y_test, color='red', label='Testing Data')
plt.xlabel('X')
plt.ylabel('y')
plt.title('Linear Regression')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
r2_score_test: 0.6249804344992638
r2_score_train: 0.5419741427254932

png


  1. Decision Trees: Decision trees can be used for non-linear regression by partitioning the input space into regions based on different features and predicting the target variable based on the average or majority value of the samples within each region.
########model: decision tree
from sklearn.tree import DecisionTreeRegressor
## the shape of fitting changes with this max_depth
model_tree = DecisionTreeRegressor(max_depth=3)
model_tree.fit(X_train, y_train)
##########################
X_new = np.linspace(0.5, 4, 692).reshape(-1, 1)
y_pred_new = model_tree.predict(X_new)
##############################
y_pred_test = model_tree.predict(X_test)
y_pred_train = model_tree.predict(X_train)
y_pred_orginal = model_tree.predict(X)

########
# Print the predicted output, R-squared
print('r2_score_test:',r2_score(y_test, y_pred_test))
print('r2_score_train:',r2_score(y_train, y_pred_train))
print('r2_score_orginal:',r2_score(y, y_pred_orginal))

####plots
plt.scatter(X_train, y_train, color='green', label='Training data')
plt.scatter(X_test, y_test, color='red', label='Testing data')
plt.plot(X_new, y_pred_new, color='black', linewidth=3, label='Prediction')
plt.xlabel('X')
plt.ylabel('y')
plt.title('Nonlinear Regression with decision-tree')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
r2_score_test: 0.6460700311533281
r2_score_train: 0.6073236518752619
r2_score_orginal: 0.6223754318811467

png


  1. Random Forest: Random Forest is an ensemble learning method that combines multiple decision trees to make predictions. It can capture non-linear relationships by aggregating the predictions of individual trees.
########model: Random forest
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestRegressor
model_random = RandomForestRegressor(n_estimators=692, max_depth=5)
model_random.fit(X_train, y_train)
########################
X_new = np.linspace(0.5, 4, 692).reshape(-1, 1)
y_pred_new = model_random.predict(X_new)
##############################
y_pred_test = model_random.predict(X_test)
y_pred_train = model_random.predict(X_train)
y_pred_orginal = model_random.predict(X)

########
# Print the predicted output, R-squared
print('r2_score_test:',r2_score(y_test, y_pred_test))
print('r2_score_train:',r2_score(y_train, y_pred_train))
print('r2_score_orginal:',r2_score(y, y_pred_orginal))

####plots
plt.scatter(X_train, y_train, color='green', label='Training data')
plt.scatter(X_test, y_test, color='red', label='Testing data')
plt.plot(X_new, y_pred_new, color='black', linewidth=3, label='Prediction')
plt.xlabel('X')
plt.ylabel('y')
plt.title('Nonlinear Regression with Random Forest')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
<ipython-input-296-78053869c345>:4: DataConversionWarning: A column-vector y was passed when a 1d array was expected. Please change the shape of y to (n_samples,), for example using ravel().
  model_random.fit(X_train, y_train)


r2_score_test: 0.5318808842374556
r2_score_train: 0.7834369035149201
r2_score_orginal: 0.688481305796875

png


  1. Support Vector Regression (SVR): SVR is a variation of Support Vector Machines (SVM) used for regression tasks. It uses kernel functions to transform the data into a higher-dimensional space, where a linear regression model is applied to capture non-linear relationships.
########model: SVR
from sklearn.svm import SVR
##PLAY WITH  c and epsilon
model_svr = SVR(kernel='rbf', C=20, epsilon=0.3)
model_svr.fit(X_train, y_train)
########################
X_new = np.linspace(0.5, 4, 692).reshape(-1, 1)
y_pred_new = model_svr.predict(X_new)

y_pred_test = model_svr.predict(X_test)
y_pred_train = model_svr.predict(X_train)
y_pred_orginal = model_svr.predict(X)
########
# Print the predicted output, R-squared
print('r2_score_test:',r2_score(y_test, y_pred_test))
print('r2_score_train:',r2_score(y_train, y_pred_train))
print('r2_score_orginal:',r2_score(y, y_pred_orginal))

####plots
plt.scatter(X_train, y_train, color='green', label='Training data')
plt.scatter(X_test, y_test, color='red', label='Testing data')
plt.plot(X_new, y_pred_new, color='black', linewidth=3, label='Prediction')
plt.xlabel('X')
plt.ylabel('y')
plt.title('Nonlinear Regression with svr')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
r2_score_test: 0.5936860250103088
r2_score_train: 0.5677285714202208
r2_score_orginal: 0.5779814652663983

png


  1. K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN): KNN is a simple non-parametric algorithm that predicts the target variable based on the average of the nearest neighbors in the input space. It can capture non-linear relationships by considering the local structure of the data.
########model: KNN
from sklearn.neighbors import KNeighborsRegressor
##PLAY WITH  n_neighbors
model_knn = KNeighborsRegressor(n_neighbors=20)
model_knn.fit(X_train, y_train)
########################
X_new = np.linspace(0.5, 4, 692).reshape(-1, 1)
y_pred_new = model_knn.predict(X_new)

y_pred_test = model_knn.predict(X_test)
y_pred_train = model_knn.predict(X_train)
y_pred_orginal = model_knn.predict(X)
########
# Print the predicted output, R-squared
print('r2_score_test:',r2_score(y_test, y_pred_test))
print('r2_score_train:',r2_score(y_train, y_pred_train))
print('r2_score_orginal:',r2_score(y, y_pred_orginal))

####plots
plt.scatter(X_train, y_train, color='green', label='Training data')
plt.scatter(X_test, y_test, color='red', label='Testing data')
plt.plot(X_new, y_pred_new, color='black', linewidth=3, label='Prediction')
plt.xlabel('X')
plt.ylabel('y')
plt.title('Nonlinear Regression with knn')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
r2_score_test: 0.6324868878337937
r2_score_train: 0.573379784239268
r2_score_orginal: 0.5961686640010643

png


  1. AdaBoost Regression: While AdaBoost is widely known for its application in classification problems, it can be adapted for regression by modifying the algorithm’s loss function and the way weak models are combined. It can capture non-linear relationships between the input features and the target variable by leveraging the capabilities of the weak regression models. It has been used in various regression tasks, such as predicting housing prices, stock market prices, and demand forecasting.
##model: ada_boost
from sklearn.ensemble import AdaBoostRegressor
base_estimator = DecisionTreeRegressor(max_depth=5)
model_ada_boost = AdaBoostRegressor(base_estimator=base_estimator, n_estimators=50, learning_rate=0.1)
model_ada_boost.fit(X_train, y_train)
########################
X_new = np.linspace(0.5, 4, 692).reshape(-1, 1)
y_pred_new = model_ada_boost.predict(X_new)

y_pred_test = model_ada_boost.predict(X_test)
y_pred_train = model_ada_boost.predict(X_train)
y_pred_orginal = model_ada_boost.predict(X)
########
# Print the predicted output, R-squared
print('r2_score_test:',r2_score(y_test, y_pred_test))
print('r2_score_train:',r2_score(y_train, y_pred_train))
print('r2_score_orginal:',r2_score(y, y_pred_orginal))

####plots
plt.scatter(X_train, y_train, color='green', label='Training data')
plt.scatter(X_test, y_test, color='red', label='Testing data')
plt.plot(X_new, y_pred_new, color='black', linewidth=3, label='Prediction')
plt.xlabel('X')
plt.ylabel('y')
plt.title('Nonlinear Regression with ada-boost')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
r2_score_test: 0.20123078391652682
r2_score_train: 0.85935356564122
r2_score_orginal: 0.6105040407477482

png


  1. Gradient Boosting: Gradient Boosting algorithms, such as XGBoost and LightGBM, combine weak learners (e.g., decision trees) in a sequential manner, with each subsequent model focused on correcting the errors made by the previous models. This iterative process helps capture non-linear relationships effectively.
# model : GradientBoos
from sklearn.ensemble import GradientBoostingRegressor
model_g_boost = GradientBoostingRegressor()
model_g_boost.fit(X_train, y_train)
########################
X_new = np.linspace(0.5, 4, 692).reshape(-1, 1)
y_pred_new = model_g_boost.predict(X_new)

y_pred_test = model_g_boost.predict(X_test)
y_pred_train = model_g_boost.predict(X_train)
y_pred_orginal = model_g_boost.predict(X)
########
# Print the predicted output, R-squared
print('r2_score_test:',r2_score(y_test, y_pred_test))
print('r2_score_train:',r2_score(y_train, y_pred_train))
print('r2_score_orginal:',r2_score(y, y_pred_orginal))

####plots
plt.scatter(X_train, y_train, color='green', label='Training data')
plt.scatter(X_test, y_test, color='red', label='Testing data')
plt.plot(X_new, y_pred_new, color='black', linewidth=3, label='Prediction')
plt.xlabel('X')
plt.ylabel('y')
plt.title('Nonlinear Regression with g-boost')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
r2_score_test: 0.28023899182141265
r2_score_train: 0.8936658503459132
r2_score_orginal: 0.6616919948568706

png


  1. Extra Trees Regression: short for Extremely Randomized Trees Regression, is an ensemble learning method used for regression tasks. It is a variation of the Random Forest algorithm that introduces additional randomness during the construction of individual decision trees. In Extra Trees Regression, multiple decision trees are trained on different random subsets of the training data and random subsets of features. During the tree construction process, instead of finding the best-split point based on a criterion like Gini impurity or information gain, Extra Trees randomly selects split points without considering the optimal threshold. This randomization helps to reduce overfitting and increase the diversity among the trees.
##model ExtraTrees
from sklearn.ensemble import ExtraTreesRegressor
model_extratree = ExtraTreesRegressor(n_estimators=10, random_state=42)
model_extratree.fit(X_train, y_train)
########################
X_new = np.linspace(0.5, 4, 692).reshape(-1, 1)
y_pred_new = model_extratree.predict(X_new)

y_pred_test = model_extratree.predict(X_test)
y_pred_train = model_extratree.predict(X_train)
y_pred_orginal = model_extratree.predict(X)
########
# Print the predicted output, R-squared
print('r2_score_test:',r2_score(y_test, y_pred_test))
print('r2_score_train:',r2_score(y_train, y_pred_train))
print('r2_score_orginal:',r2_score(y, y_pred_orginal))

####plots
plt.scatter(X_train, y_train, color='green', label='Training data')
plt.scatter(X_test, y_test, color='red', label='Testing data')
plt.plot(X_new, y_pred_new, color='black', linewidth=3, label='Prediction')
plt.xlabel('X')
plt.ylabel('y')
plt.title('Nonlinear Regression with extratree')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
r2_score_test: 0.2896668551674425
r2_score_train: 0.9995395981792005
r2_score_orginal: 0.7309711087063522



  model_extratree.fit(X_train, y_train)

png


  1. Kernel Ridge Regression: this is a non-linear regression algorithm that combines Ridge Regression with a kernel function. It is a powerful technique for handling non-linear relationships between the input features and the target variable. In Kernel Ridge Regression, the input data is mapped to a higher-dimensional feature space using a kernel function, which allows capturing complex non-linear relationships. The algorithm then applies Ridge Regression in this transformed feature space to find the optimal weights for the regression model. The key idea behind Kernel Ridge Regression is to perform regularization by adding a penalty term to the loss function, which helps to prevent overfitting and improve generalization. The penalty term includes the squared magnitude of the weight vector, as well as a regularization parameter called the alpha parameter.
## model KernelRidge
from sklearn.kernel_ridge import KernelRidge
# Fit the Kernel Ridge Regression model
model_KernelRidg = KernelRidge(alpha=0.1, kernel='rbf')
model_KernelRidg.fit(X_train, y_train)
########################
X_new = np.linspace(0.5, 4, 692).reshape(-1, 1)
y_pred_new = model_extratree.predict(X_new)

y_pred_test = model_KernelRidg.predict(X_test)
y_pred_train = model_KernelRidg.predict(X_train)
y_pred_orginal = model_KernelRidg.predict(X)
########
# Print the predicted output, R-squared
print('r2_score_test:',r2_score(y_test, y_pred_test))
print('r2_score_train:',r2_score(y_train, y_pred_train))
print('r2_score_orginal:',r2_score(y, y_pred_orginal))

####plots
plt.scatter(X_train, y_train, color='green', label='Training data')
plt.scatter(X_test, y_test, color='red', label='Testing data')
plt.plot(X_new, y_pred_new, color='black', linewidth=3, label='Prediction')
plt.xlabel('X')
plt.ylabel('y')
plt.title('Nonlinear Regression with KernelRidg')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
r2_score_test: 0.6314784215124377
r2_score_train: 0.5762856045109264
r2_score_orginal: 0.5975906707462677

png


  1. Polynomial regression: It is a form of regression analysis in which the relationship between the independent variable (input) and the dependent variable (target) is modeled as an nth-degree polynomial. In polynomial regression, the input data is transformed by adding polynomial terms of different degrees. For example, a second-degree polynomial regression would include the original input features as well as their squared terms. The model then fits a polynomial function to the data, allowing for non-linear relationships to be captured. Polynomial regression can be useful when the relationship between the variables cannot be adequately captured by a linear model. It can fit curves and capture non-linear patterns in the data. However, it’s important to note that as the degree of the polynomial increases, the model becomes more flexible and can overfit the data if not properly regularized.
##model: Polynomial
from sklearn.preprocessing import PolynomialFeatures
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
# Create polynomial features
degree = 2  # Degree of polynomial
model_poly = PolynomialFeatures(degree=degree)
X_train_poly = model_poly.fit_transform(X_train)
X_test_poly = model_poly.transform(X_test)
# Create and fit the polynomial regression model
model = LinearRegression()
model.fit(X_train_poly, y_train)

# Predict using the trained model
X_plot = np.linspace(0.5, 4, 692).reshape(-1, 1)
X_plot_poly = model_poly.transform(X_plot)
y_plot = model.predict(X_plot_poly)

# Plot the original data and the regression curve
plt.scatter(X_train, y_train, color='green', label='Training Data')
plt.scatter(X_test, y_test, color='red', label='Testing Data')
plt.plot(X_plot, y_plot, color='black', label='Polynomial Regression', linewidth=3)
plt.xlabel('X')
plt.ylabel('Y')
plt.title('Polynomial Regression')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
# Evaluate the model accuracy
y_train_pred = model.predict(X_train_poly)
y_test_pred = model.predict(X_test_poly)
print("r2_score_train:", r2_score(y_train, y_train_pred))
print("r2_score_test:", r2_score(y_test, y_test_pred))

png

r2_score_train: 0.5454831287885435
r2_score_test: 0.6361940663472756

  1. Bayesian Ridge Regression: Bayesian Ridge Regression is a regression algorithm that combines the Bayesian framework with ridge regression. It is a probabilistic regression model that estimates the underlying relationship between the input features and the target variable. In Bayesian Ridge Regression, a prior distribution is placed on the regression coefficients, and the algorithm uses Bayesian inference to estimate the posterior distribution of the coefficients given the data. The algorithm considers both the observed data and the prior information to make predictions. The ridge regression component of Bayesian Ridge Regression introduces a regularization term to the model, which helps to mitigate overfitting by penalizing large coefficient values. This regularization term is controlled by a hyperparameter called the regularization parameter or alpha. By adjusting the alpha value, you can control the trade-off between model complexity and model fit to the data.
##model BayesianRidge
from sklearn.preprocessing import PolynomialFeatures
from sklearn.linear_model import BayesianRidge
degree = 2  # Degree of polynomial
model_poly = PolynomialFeatures(degree=degree)
X_train_poly = model_poly.fit_transform(X_train)
X_test_poly = model_poly.transform(X_test)
# Create and fit the Bayesian model
model_bayes = BayesianRidge()
model_bayes.fit(X_train_poly, y_train)

# Predict using the trained model
X_plot = np.linspace(0.5, 4, 692).reshape(-1, 1)
X_plot_poly = model_poly.transform(X_plot)
y_plot = model_bayes.predict(X_plot_poly)

# Plot the original data and the regression curve
plt.scatter(X_train, y_train, color='green', label='Training Data')
plt.scatter(X_test, y_test, color='red', label='Testing Data')
plt.plot(X_plot, y_plot, color='black', label='Bayesian Regression', linewidth=3)
plt.xlabel('X')
plt.ylabel('Y')
plt.title('Bayesian Regression')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
# Evaluate the model accuracy
y_train_pred = model_bayes.predict(X_train_poly)
y_test_pred = model_bayes.predict(X_test_poly)
print("r2_score_train:", r2_score(y_train, y_train_pred))
print("r2_score_test:", r2_score(y_test, y_test_pred))

png

r2_score_train: 0.5452187009957163
r2_score_test: 0.6373403431551519

  1. Artificial Neural Networks (ANN): ANNs are powerful models that consist of interconnected nodes (neurons) organized in layers. By adjusting the weights and biases of the network during the training process, ANNs can learn complex non-linear relationships between inputs and outputs.
##model deep learning
from tensorflow import keras
from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler

# Normalize the input features
scaler = MinMaxScaler()
X_train_scaled = scaler.fit_transform(X_train)
X_test_scaled = scaler.transform(X_test)
X_scaled = scaler.transform(X)


# Build the neural network model
model = keras.Sequential([
    keras.layers.Dense(64, activation='relu', input_shape=(1,)),
    keras.layers.Dense(32, activation='relu'),
    keras.layers.Dense(1)
])

# Compile the model
model.compile(optimizer='adam', loss='mean_squared_error')
# Train the model
model.fit(X_train_scaled, y_train, epochs=100, batch_size=8, verbose=0)
#____________
X_new = np.linspace(0.5, 4, 692).reshape(-1, 1)
X_new_scaled = scaler.transform(X_new)
y_pred_new = model.predict(X_new_scaled)

y_pred_test = model.predict(X_test_scaled)
y_pred_train = model.predict(X_train_scaled)
y_pred_orginal = model.predict(X_scaled)

########
# Print the predicted output, R-squared
print('r2_score_test:',r2_score(y_test, y_pred_test))
print('r2_score_train:',r2_score(y_train, y_pred_train))
print('r2_score_orginal:',r2_score(y, y_pred_orginal))

####plots
plt.scatter(X_train, y_train, color='green', label='Training data')
plt.scatter(X_test, y_test, color='red', label='Testing data')
plt.plot(X_new, y_pred_new, color='black', linewidth=3, label='Prediction')
plt.xlabel('X')
plt.ylabel('y')
plt.title('Neural Network Regression')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
22/22 [==============================] - 0s 1ms/step
7/7 [==============================] - 0s 1ms/step
16/16 [==============================] - 0s 1ms/step
22/22 [==============================] - 0s 963us/step
r2_score_test: 0.6423428557689354
r2_score_train: 0.5556926904554241
r2_score_orginal: 0.5889197319546502

png

Reference: Some information was provided by ChatGPT.